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Startups · Lesson 1 of 8

From idea to a problem worth solving

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An idea is a solution you find interesting. A problem worth solving is somebody else's pain, occurring often enough and costing enough that they will pay a stranger to make it stop. Those are different objects, and most startups die because the founder had the first and believed they had the second.

The good news is that the distinction is arithmetic, and Switzerland makes the arithmetic unusually concrete.

The Market Here Is Small. That Is Not Bad News

Switzerland has roughly 9 million people — verify the current figure, but the order of magnitude is the point. Run an honest funnel rather than a total-addressable-market slide:

— A segment that is 10 percent of the country is 900,000 people. At a 1 percent conversion, 9,000 paying users. — A segment that is 1 percent is 90,000 people. At 1 percent conversion, 900 paying users. — A segment that is 0.1 percent is 9,000 people. At 1 percent conversion, 90 paying users.

A "1 percent of Switzerland" idea — which sounds ambitious in a pitch — realistically produces several hundred to a few thousand customers. That is the whole reachable market, before competitors, before churn, before the fact that you cannot actually reach all of them.

Founders react to this by widening: Switzerland plus Germany plus Austria, then Europe. Sometimes that is right. Usually it is a way of avoiding the actual question, which is not how many people exist but how much each one will pay.

Price Decides What Company You Are Building

Here is the calculation almost nobody does before starting. A founder salary of CHF 120,000 in Zürich costs roughly CHF 144,000 loaded with social contributions. How many customers pay for exactly one of you?

— At CHF 5 a month: 2,400 customers — At CHF 10 a month: 1,200 customers — At CHF 30 a month: 400 customers — At CHF 100 a month: 120 customers — At CHF 500 a month: 24 customers — At CHF 2,000 a month: 6 customers

Six customers versus twelve hundred. Same salary. That single number decides everything downstream — whether you need a marketing engine or a phone, whether you can survive on a Swiss market or must go global on day one, whether you are a consumer company or a B2B one.

Expressed against the country: 1,200 customers is 0.013 percent of Switzerland. 12 customers at CHF 1,000 a month is 0.00013 percent. One of these is a search problem. The other is a conversation problem.

Switzerland's small population is therefore only a constraint at low price points. At high ones it is close to irrelevant — and Switzerland happens to contain an unusual density of companies that can pay CHF 2,000 a month without a committee.

Frequency Times Pain Is The Whole Test

Now the part that tells you whether anyone will pay at all. A rough model: annual willingness to pay is roughly how often the problem occurs, times what it costs each time, times the share of that cost someone will hand over. A third is a generous share.

— Hits once a year, costs CHF 500: annual pain CHF 500, plausible WTP about CHF 150 a year — Hits monthly, costs CHF 100: annual pain CHF 1,200, plausible WTP about CHF 360 a year — Hits daily, costs CHF 20: annual pain CHF 5,000, plausible WTP about CHF 1,500 a year — Hits daily, costs CHF 200: annual pain CHF 50,000, plausible WTP about CHF 15,000 a year

Now chain it to the salary maths:

— A problem worth CHF 150 a year needs about 960 customers to pay one founder — A problem worth CHF 1,500 a year needs about 96 — A problem worth CHF 15,000 a year needs about 10

This is the vitamin-versus-painkiller distinction with numbers attached. An annual mild annoyance is not a business in a market of 9 million — not because the idea is bad, but because you would need a thousand customers for a problem nobody thinks about eleven months a year. A daily expensive problem needs ten customers, and you could find ten by walking into ten offices.

The Catch

Every number here is a model with round assumptions. The one-third share of pain is invented for illustration — for regulated or mission-critical problems it is far higher, and for nice-to-haves it is close to zero. The conversion rates are placeholders; yours will be worse than you think at first and are the thing to measure rather than assume.

The salary calculation also ignores everything else a company costs — tools, legal, accounting, the second person — so treat "customers for one salary" as a floor, not a target. And it assumes you keep the revenue: at CHF 5 a month, payment processing alone eats a visible share.

Most importantly, none of this says a small market is bad. Many excellent Swiss businesses serve a few hundred customers extremely well and never raise a franc. The arithmetic does not tell you what to build. It tells you which shape of company your price point has already chosen for you.

Do This

— Write the problem as a sentence about someone else, with a frequency and a cost. If you cannot state how often it happens and what it costs them, you have an idea rather than a problem. — Compute your customers-for-one-salary number before anything else. It will tell you more about your next two years than any market-size slide. — Ask ten people in the segment what they currently do about the problem. If the answer is "nothing", the frequency-times-pain product is too small — and no amount of product will change that.

This is education, not financial advice. It's general information, not a recommendation for your situation, and it doesn't account for your circumstances. Rules and figures change — verify before you act, and speak to a qualified professional for decisions that matter.

Go deeper at Agent Smith

FNZ keeps this track short and practical on purpose. For the full treatment, see the Agent Smith academy, for the problem-discovery material.

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From idea to a problem worth solving · Founders & fundraising · FNZ